- Analisis
- Analisis Teknikal
Emas vs. Perak Analisis Teknikal - Emas vs. Perak Berniaga: 2019-07-17
Silver rises in price against gold
The gold to silver ratio is adjusted down from the historical maximum. Will the decline of XAUXAG quotations continue?
Such dynamics is observed when gold becomes cheaper, and silver becomes more expensive. The cost of gold fell against the strengthening of the dollar after the publication of good macroeconomic indicators in the United States. Growth in retail sales in June exceeded forecasts and amounted to + 0.4% compared with June. Year to year, retail sales grew by 3.4%. Positive US statistics may limit the potential rate cut by the Fed. Silver quotations, on the contrary, soared yesterday a 4-month high. Some very important reasons for this growth have not been voiced. However, it can be noted that for 10 years the world balance of silver has a stable annual deficit, covered by global reserves. So, in 2018, the global deficit was 80 million ounces. In addition, investors have noted an increase in demand for investment coins and silver bars against the background of sharply rising gold.
On the daily timeframe XAUXAG: D1 adjusted from the historical maximum. Various technical analysis indicators formed bearish signal. Decrease in quotations is possible if high demand for silver remains.
- The Parabolic indicator indicates signal to decrease.
- The Bolinger bands expanded, indicating a volatility decrease. The top line slopes down.
- The RSI indicator is below 50. It has formed a divergence to decrease.
- The MACD indicator gives bearish signal.
The bearish momentum may develop if XAUXAG drops below its last low: 89.9. This level can be used as an entry point. The initial stop lose may be placed above the last three upper fractals, the historical maximum and the Parabolic signal: 93.4. After opening the pending order, stop shall be moved following the the Bollinger and Parabolic signals to the next fractal minimum. Thus, we are changing the potential profit/loss to the breakeven point. More risk-averse traders may switch to the 4-hour chart after the trade and place a stop loss moving it in the direction of the trade. If the price meets the stop level (93,4) without reaching the order (89,9), we recommend to cancel the order: the market sustains internal changes that were not taken into account.
Technical Analysis Summary
Position | Sell |
Sell stop | Below 89,9 |
Stop loss | Above 93,4 |
Perhatian:
Kajian berikut adalah berdasarkan maklumat kognitif dan diterbitkan secara percuma. Semua maklumat, terkandung dalam semakan semasa, diperolehi dari sumber umum, diakui sebagai tidak tepat sepenuhnya. Oleh yang demikian tidak dijamin, maklumat yang dipaparkan adalah tepat dan lengkap sepenuhnya. Ulasan kemudian tidak dikemaskini. Segala maklumat pada setiap ulasan, seperti ramalan, petunjuk, carta dan seumpama dengannya, hanya disertakan bagi tujuaan rujukan, dan bukan sebagai nasihat kewangan atau cadangan. Kesemua teks dan sebahagian darinya, dan termasuk juga carta, sesama sekali tidak boleh digunakan sebagai cadangan untuk membuat sebarang transaksi untuk sebarang saham. Syarikat IFC Markets dan pekerjanya tidak akan bertanggungjawab di bawah mana-mana keadaan untuk segala tindakan yang diambil oleh sesiapa selepas atau semasa ulasan.