- Analisis
- Analisis Teknikal
DAX 30 Analisis Teknikal - DAX 30 Berniaga: 2019-08-15
Negative data bearish for DE30
German economy slowed in second quarter. Will the DE30 continue declining?
Recent German economic data were negative: second quarter GDP contracted as expected, and German economic sentiment tumbled in August. The GDP shrank 0.1% in the second quarter as forecast, and ZEW survey results showed the ZEW indicator of economic sentiment for Germany slumped from -24.5 in July to -44.1 August, the worst level since December 2011. And experts cite continuing US-China trade dispute and the increased likelihood of a no-deal Brexit as additional downside risks for German economy.
On the daily timeframe the DE30: D1 is retracing after climbing to 12-month high in the beginning of July. It has fallen below the 200-day moving average MA(200). This is bearish.
- The Parabolic indicator gives a sell signal.
- The Donchian channel indicates downtrend: it is widening down.
- The MACD indicator gives a bearish signal: it is below the signal line and the gap is widening.
- The Stochastic oscillator is falling but has not reached the oversold zone yet.
We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below lower boundary of Donchian channel at 11436.00. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above the last fractal high at 11858.50. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (11858.50) without reaching the order (11436.00), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Technical Analysis Summary
Order | Sell |
Sell stop | Below 11436.00 |
Stop loss | Above 11858.50 |
Perhatian:
Kajian berikut adalah berdasarkan maklumat kognitif dan diterbitkan secara percuma. Semua maklumat, terkandung dalam semakan semasa, diperolehi dari sumber umum, diakui sebagai tidak tepat sepenuhnya. Oleh yang demikian tidak dijamin, maklumat yang dipaparkan adalah tepat dan lengkap sepenuhnya. Ulasan kemudian tidak dikemaskini. Segala maklumat pada setiap ulasan, seperti ramalan, petunjuk, carta dan seumpama dengannya, hanya disertakan bagi tujuaan rujukan, dan bukan sebagai nasihat kewangan atau cadangan. Kesemua teks dan sebahagian darinya, dan termasuk juga carta, sesama sekali tidak boleh digunakan sebagai cadangan untuk membuat sebarang transaksi untuk sebarang saham. Syarikat IFC Markets dan pekerjanya tidak akan bertanggungjawab di bawah mana-mana keadaan untuk segala tindakan yang diambil oleh sesiapa selepas atau semasa ulasan.